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HSPA Math Macro 3b: Statistical distributions in real-world situations

Sample Open-ended Item #3


Sample Item

New Jersey’s population, p (in millions) from 1900 to 2000 is shown in the table below.

  • Sketch a scatter plot  Let t = 0 represent 1900.  Label your graph with appropriate values for time and population.
  • Using your scatter plot, what type of correlation do p and t have?  Explain how you arrived at your answer.
  • Predict what the population of New Jersey will be in the year 2010.  Explain the strategy that you used to make the prediction.

Sample Responses

Click on a link below to view individual student responses and scorer comments to this sample test item:

"0" Response | "1" Response | "2" Response | "3" Response | Top


"0" Response

This response shows a basic understanding of scatterplots, but does not go into the problem and indicates a low level of understanding.

"0" Response | "1" Response | "2" Response | "3" Response | Top


"1" Response

This response scored a "1" because it shows an undertstanding of how to set up a scatterplot, but goes no further and does not answer any questions.

"0" Response | "1" Response | "2" Response | "3" Response | Top


"2" Response

This response scored a "2" because the scatter plot is properly constructed, and there is a conclusion drawn about the population, but there is no written correlation between p and t.

  "0" Response | "1" Response | "2" Response | "3" Response | Top


"3" Response

This response scored a "3" because the graph is properly constructed, and all questions were answered clearly and correctly.

"0" Response | "1" Response | "2" Response | "3" Response | Top


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