State of New Jersey Department of Education

Developing Assessments Based on NJ Standards
The New Americans
Level: Secondary
HSPA - Cumulative Progress Indicators for Mathematics
Standards 4.11, 4.12

 | Overview | Student | Teacher  | Assessment Steps |

Standard 4.11:
All Students Will Develop An Understanding Of Patterns, Relationships, And Functions And Will Use Them To Represent And Explain Real-World Phenomena
Standard 4.12:
All Students Will Develop An Understanding Of Statistics And Probability And Will Use Them To Describe Sets Of Data, Model Situations, And Support Appropriate Inferences And Arguments

Descriptive Statement:
Patterns, relationships, and functions constitute a unifying theme of mathematics. From the earliest age, students should be encouraged to investigate the patterns that they find in numbers, shapes, and expressions, and, by doing so, to make mathematical discoveries. They should have opportunities to analyze, extend, and create a variety of patterns and to use pattern-based thinking to understand and represent mathematical and other real-world phenomena. These explorations present unlimited opportunities for problem-solving, making and verifying generalizations, and building mathematical understanding and confidence.

Building upon knowledge and skills gained in the preceding grades, by the end of grade 12, students:

Descriptive Statement:
Probability and statistics are the mathematics used to understand chance and to collect, organize, describe, and analyze numerical data. From weather reports to sophisticated studies of genetics, from election results to product preference surveys, probability and statistical language and concepts are increasingly present in the media and in everyday conversations. Students need this mathematics to help them judge the correctness of an argument supported by seemingly persuasive data.

Building upon knowledge and skills gained in the preceding grades, and demonstrating continued progress in Indicator 6 above, by the end of grade 12, students:

Cumulative Progress Indicators

14. Analyze and describe how a change in an independent variable can produce a change in a dependent variable.
15. Use polynomial, rational, trigonometric, and exponential functions to model real-world phenomena.
16. Recognize that a variety of phenomena can be modeled by the same type of function.
17. Analyze and explain the general properties and behavior of functions, and use appropriate graphing technologies to represent them.
18. Analyze the effects of changes in parameters on the graphs of functions.
19. Understand the role of functions as a unifying concept in mathematics.

Cumulative Progress Indicators

17. Estimate probabilities and predict outcomes from actual data.
18. Understand sampling and recognize its role in statistical claims.
19. Evaluate bias, accuracy, and reasonableness of data in real-world contexts.
20. Understand and apply measures of dispersion and correlation.
21. Design a statistical experiment to study a problem, conduct the experiment, and interpret and communicate the outcomes.
22. Make predictions using curve fitting and numerical procedures to interpolate and extrapolate from known data.
23. Use relative frequency and probability, as appropriate, to represent and solve problems involving uncertainty.
24. Use simulations to estimate probabilities.
25. Create and interpret discrete and continuous probability distributions, and understand their application to real-world situations.
26. Describe the normal curve in general terms, and use its properties to answer questions about sets of data that are assumed to be normally distributed.
27. Understand and use the law of large numbers (that experimental results tend to approach theoretical probabilities after a large number of trials).